Iran can reach critican nuclear capability in mid-2014
The Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS)
reported that Iran is expected to achieve critical nuclear
capability sometime in the middle of 2014.
Based on the ISIS assessments, the "critical capability" is defined
as the technical capability to produce sufficient weapon-grade
uranium from its safeguarded stocks of low enriched uranium for a
nuclear explosive, without being detected.
The report reads that Iran would achieve this capability
principally by implementing its existing, firm plans to install
thousands more IR-1 centrifuges, "and perhaps a few thousand IR-2m
centrifuges, at its declared Natanz and Fordow centrifuge
sites".
Iran's criticality date could be achieved a few months earlier if
Iran successfully deploys and operates several thousand IR-2m
centrifuges and continues installing thousands of IR-1 centrifuges,
the report said.
It is also noted in the report, that "a priority is preventing Iran
from achieving a critical capability via non-military means".
ISIS says that "preventing Iran from reaching critical capability
will require a broad set of responses", the most important of which
is to limit the "number and type of centrifuges Iran builds".
The report also said that "although increasing the frequency and
type of inspections at the enrichment plants is important, it is by
no means sufficient to prevent Iran from achieving critical
capability."
The U.S. and its Western allies suspect Iran of developing a
nuclear weapon - something that Iran denies.
The Islamic Republic has on numerous occasions stated that it does
not seek to develop nuclear weapons, using nuclear energy for
medical researches instead.
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